Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +3 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | KC -15.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -10.3 (-7.3) | 136.6 (-11.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -10.3 (-7.3) | 141.2 (-16.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -10.4 (-7.4) | 137.6 (-12.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -10.3 (-7.3) | 140.3 (-15.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | OMA 77 – 60 KC |
| Jan 4, 2026 | KC 73 – 66 OMA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OMA 70 – 61 KC |
| Feb 20, 2025 | OMA 78 – 66 KC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | OMA 77 – 58 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-7 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 84.4 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#237) | -14.8 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#176) | -2.37 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#167) | -2.89 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#187) | 0.397 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 19.6% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.9% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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