Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -2.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -2.5 (+0.5) | 140.6 (+13.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -3.5 (+1.5) | 145.9 (+8.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -3.7 (+1.7) | 147.3 (+6.7) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -3.6 (+1.6) | 143.7 (+10.3) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | ORE 87 – 75 ORST |
| Nov 22, 2024 | ORE 78 – 75 ORST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ORE 78 – 71 ORST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ORE 60 – 58 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2023 | ORE 69 – 67 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 11-9 |
| Home | 3-13 | 12-5 |
| Away | 0-12 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#189) | 5.9 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#261) | 0.84 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#217) | 1.42 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#226) | 0.545 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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