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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 5.8
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Montana
@
Montana State
|
+4.8 | 138.4 | 71% | 59–66 | ✓ |
Wisconsin
@
Maryland
|
-2.1 | 140.2 | 38% | 70–69 | ✓ |
Campbell
@
Winthrop
|
+2.8 | 140.0 | 65% | 72–74 | ✓ |
Wofford
@
UNC Greensboro
|
-0.9 | 130.3 | 48% | 54–58 | ✗ |
Army
@
Colgate
|
+4.6 | 151.0 | 69% | 57–76 | ✓ |
Morgan State
@
South Carolina State
|
+4.8 | 146.8 | 70% | 88–81 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.