Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
| Money | SCST -130 MORG +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +7 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | SCST -7.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (+20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -3.3 (-10.3) | 147.8 (+21.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -4.8 (-11.8) | 146.8 (+22.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -5.5 (-12.5) | 146.1 (+22.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -4.4 (-11.4) | 148.0 (+21.0) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MORG 90 – 83 SCST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORG 72 – 67 SCST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SCST 90 – 62 MORG |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SCST 86 – 72 MORG |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SCST 72 – 61 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 13-15 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 7-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#329) | -14.3 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#299) | -2.39 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#315) | -3.61 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#316) | 0.370 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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