Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -400 ARMY +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +19 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -8.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -6.4 (+12.6) | 148.6 (-15.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -4.6 (+14.4) | 151.0 (-18.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -4.2 (+14.8) | 151.0 (-18.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -5.0 (+14.0) | 149.2 (-16.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | COLG 69 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLG 76 – 69 ARMY |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COLG 84 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ARMY 84 – 72 COLG |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COLG 71 – 59 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-10 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#186) | -5.3 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#298) | -0.45 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#288) | -0.96 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#304) | 0.489 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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