Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +4 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -2.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -1.2 (+5.2) | 127.7 (-15.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -0.9 (+4.9) | 130.3 (-18.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -1.7 (+5.7) | 130.1 (-18.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -1.8 (+5.8) | 128.7 (-16.7) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 75 – 72 WOF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCG 99 – 89 WOF |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WOF 97 – 85 UNCG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WOF 74 – 62 UNCG |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UNCG 68 – 66 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#190) | 5.1 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#158) | 0.33 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#138) | 0.55 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#176) | 0.501 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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