Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +18 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | ETSU -9.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -8.9 (+9.1) | 150.8 (+5.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -7.1 (+10.9) | 149.7 (+6.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -7.0 (+11.0) | 151.2 (+4.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -7.3 (+10.7) | 152.0 (+4.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ETSU 69 – 67 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | WCU 90 – 88 ETSU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WCU 72 – 68 ETSU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WCU 76 – 67 ETSU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ETSU 85 – 58 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#201) | -6.7 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#135) | -0.70 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#137) | -0.98 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#119) | 0.457 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 11.6% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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