The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–7 on winners spread MAE 16.2 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina @ UNLV -8.5 145.3 21% 78–51 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Hofstra +5.9 140.6 73% 58–73 ✓
Auburn @ UCF — — — 55–63 —
Georgia State @ Mercer +11.0 157.4 81% 69–86 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Xavier +10.2 134.4 78% 96–99 ✓
Chattanooga @ Tennessee Tech — — — 62–54 —
Nicholls @ California +3.1 143.9 59% 49–60 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Minnesota +12.9 153.7 86% 64–67 ✓
SE Louisiana @ LSU +9.4 148.7 80% 43–96 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ SMU +18.1 146.3 88% 54–91 ✓
Texas State @ Mississippi State -2.1 137.8 35% 51–68 ✗
Kansas City @ Kansas State -1.4 138.4 42% 58–62 ✗
Iona @ Seton Hall — — — 64–86 —
Texas Southern @ Wyoming +8.8 138.8 78% 76–74 ✗
Pacific @ Nevada +13.9 131.4 87% 58–70 ✓
Stanford @ Alabama — — — 82–64 —
Texas @ Indiana +2.5 142.5 60% 66–44 ✗
USC @ BYU +2.5 146.4 61% 79–53 ✗
Oakland @ Purdue +15.9 148.1 89% 50–93 ✓
North Carolina @ Stanford — — — 67–63 —
Saint Francis @ Virginia +12.3 138.7 83% 51–76 ✓
UC Riverside @ Washington -6.8 132.3 27% 57–42 ✓
Bryant @ New Hampshire — — — 93–85 —
Green Bay @ Wisconsin +17.4 149.0 89% 42–82 ✓
Omaha @ Creighton +9.5 133.8 81% 67–94 ✓
Villanova @ Hartford -3.3 133.1 34% 87–53 ✓
Longwood @ VMI -1.2 140.0 46% 71–84 ✗
Stony Brook @ Saint Peter's — — — 68–82 —
Navy @ Georgetown +9.8 139.2 81% 78–71 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Louisville +8.4 146.2 78% 54–75 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.