Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -22.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | SMU -10000 AMCC +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +37 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -23.3 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -18.1 (+18.9) | 146.3 (-1.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -19.4 (+17.6) | 146.3 (-1.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2025 | SMU 69 – 58 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-6 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 7-4 | 2-13 |
| Home | 6-2 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-2 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#73) | -8.0 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#115) | -1.77 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#115) | -2.50 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.312 (#155) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.5% | 34.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.9% | 41.5% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 44.8% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 40.7% | 51.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 60.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 84.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 35.4% |
Game Analysis
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