Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | WYO -440 TXSO +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +2 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -9.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -8.8 (-10.8) | 138.8 (+11.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -6.9 (-8.9) | 142.0 (+8.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -7.0 (-9.0) | 137.0 (+13.0) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-3 |
| Home | 7-5 | 8-2 |
| Away | 4-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#148) | 1.4 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#107) | -0.46 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#105) | -0.53 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#137) | 0.531 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.2% | 34.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 43.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.40 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.9% | 37.2% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 17.6% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 2.9% | 39.6% |
Game Analysis
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