Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | WASH -550 UCR +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +15 | 99 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -11.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (-28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -6.7 (-8.3) | 130.3 (-31.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -6.8 (-8.2) | 132.3 (-33.3) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-21 | 14-8 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 8-4 |
| Home | 4-7 | 5-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 63.6 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#219) | 2.0 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#185) | -0.49 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#183) | -0.65 (#154) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 20.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 19.0 | 24.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.3% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 26.1% |
| ORB% | 14.7% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.4% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 40.0% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 7.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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