Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | VMI -220 LONG +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | VMI -2.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -1.2 (+14.2) | 140.0 (+15.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -0.2 (+13.2) | 138.6 (+16.4) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2023 | LONG 68 – 49 VMI |
| Nov 18, 2022 | LONG 90 – 58 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 12-17 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#168) | 6.4 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#163) | -0.40 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#165) | -0.52 (#139) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 51.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 33.3% | 34.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 61.0% | 89.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
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