I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–6 on winners spread MAE 12.4 27 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
VCU @ NC State +17.5 160.1 88% 79–85 ✓
Drake @ Charleston +6.7 148.1 72% 71–62 ✗
West Georgia @ Tennessee Tech +11.9 143.2 85% 61–59 ✗
Oakland @ UCF +21.7 158.2 90% 83–87 ✓
Colgate @ Siena +11.8 134.9 81% 72–69 ✗
Lafayette @ West Virginia +28.4 135.3 90% 59–81 ✓
Niagara @ Le Moyne +2.0 134.6 47% 68–74 ✓
Canisius @ High Point +19.5 145.1 89% 50–93 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Pennsylvania +4.0 145.8 65% 74–83 ✓
Bucknell @ Pittsburgh +8.9 134.4 77% 50–84 ✓
Lamar @ UL Monroe +1.3 143.2 55% 79–66 ✗
Stonehill @ Iowa State +27.6 138.7 91% 57–96 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Wisconsin +14.8 128.7 84% 69–94 ✓
Southern Illinois @ North Dakota State +5.1 147.9 71% 85–92 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Missouri +33.3 155.1 91% 73–91 ✓
Tulsa @ Kansas State +9.0 156.0 75% 83–84 ✓
Rice @ Tennessee +21.2 137.0 87% 66–91 ✓
Southern Utah @ Gonzaga +33.7 142.4 91% 50–122 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ UC Santa Barbara +4.6 143.8 63% 78–74 ✗
Alabama State @ Colorado +7.0 155.3 80% 66–94 ✓
Georgia State @ Arizona State +14.6 132.9 85% 62–75 ✓
North Alabama @ Clemson +32.4 145.6 91% 61–81 ✓
Oregon State @ Oregon +7.3 132.5 67% 75–87 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Portland State +6.8 140.4 72% 80–93 ✓
Michigan State @ Kentucky +12.8 145.9 85% 83–66 ✗
American University @ Rutgers +17.3 148.7 88% 71–80 ✓
Vermont @ Buffalo +6.1 148.3 75% 90–94 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.