Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–7 on winners spread MAE 15.6 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina @ UNLV -9.3 142.6 21% 78–51 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Hofstra +7.2 137.3 76% 58–73 ✓
Auburn @ UCF — — — 55–63 —
Georgia State @ Mercer +11.4 156.8 84% 69–86 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Xavier +9.7 137.3 83% 96–99 ✓
Chattanooga @ Tennessee Tech — — — 62–54 —
Nicholls @ California +2.2 144.0 59% 49–60 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Minnesota +13.5 153.8 87% 64–67 ✓
SE Louisiana @ LSU +10.5 150.3 83% 43–96 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ SMU +19.4 146.3 87% 54–91 ✓
Texas State @ Mississippi State -2.2 135.0 62% 51–68 ✗
Kansas City @ Kansas State -1.9 139.0 50% 58–62 ✗
Iona @ Seton Hall — — — 64–86 —
Texas Southern @ Wyoming +7.0 137.0 77% 76–74 ✗
Pacific @ Nevada +15.9 130.6 86% 58–70 ✓
Stanford @ Alabama — — — 82–64 —
Texas @ Indiana +1.2 142.9 56% 66–44 ✗
USC @ BYU +1.2 145.7 65% 79–53 ✗
Oakland @ Purdue +17.5 148.1 89% 50–93 ✓
North Carolina @ Stanford — — — 67–63 —
Saint Francis @ Virginia +12.9 139.3 85% 51–76 ✓
UC Riverside @ Washington -6.7 130.3 23% 57–42 ✓
Bryant @ New Hampshire — — — 93–85 —
Green Bay @ Wisconsin +23.2 148.3 90% 42–82 ✓
Omaha @ Creighton +9.1 133.5 81% 67–94 ✓
Villanova @ Hartford -3.4 132.9 33% 87–53 ✓
Longwood @ VMI -0.2 138.6 41% 71–84 ✗
Stony Brook @ Saint Peter's — — — 68–82 —
Navy @ Georgetown +9.9 138.3 71% 78–71 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Louisville +9.1 147.2 80% 54–75 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.