They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–5 on winners spread MAE 9.2 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Rutgers +17.6 144.5 87% 75–96 ✓
Valparaiso @ Vanderbilt — — — 71–77 —
UC Irvine @ San Diego State +18.5 133.0 83% 58–77 ✓
Nicholls @ Idaho State -5.0 143.5 32% 70–51 ✓
Longwood @ Wake Forest — — — 60–71 —
UNC Greensboro @ Little Rock — — — 77–70 —
UT Arlington @ Louisiana Tech — — — 71–76 —
Eastern Illinois @ Marquette +20.7 145.8 87% 50–75 ✓
Hartford @ UConn — — — 57–69 —
Mercer @ Georgia Tech — — — 83–73 —
Colorado @ Kansas State -8.1 146.8 36% 76–58 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Wisconsin +17.6 144.3 87% 58–92 ✓
VCU @ Memphis +1.8 142.7 57% 70–59 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Omaha -8.1 133.4 22% 70–58 ✓
Belmont @ Queens University -2.3 146.4 39% 73–61 ✓
North Dakota State @ Nebraska +17.1 138.9 87% 57–79 ✓
South Carolina State @ Bowling Green +13.5 148.4 85% 78–101 ✓
Illinois State @ UMass Lowell +6.1 145.1 76% 82–72 ✗
VMI @ Penn State — — — 65–86 —
Drexel @ Pittsburgh — — — 74–83 —
UNC Wilmington @ Troy +2.0 140.3 52% 73–50 ✗
Coppin State @ Duke — — — 71–81 —
Southern Miss @ Jacksonville — — — 51–66 —
South Carolina Upstate @ Furman — — — 63–91 —
LSU @ Saint Louis +10.4 147.3 79% 81–85 ✓
UMBC @ Saint Francis +14.3 141.0 80% 80–65 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Navy -7.6 132.3 35% 67–73 ✗
George Mason @ Howard -6.4 142.3 30% 84–70 ✓
Buffalo @ Army +4.6 132.4 70% 74–78 ✓
SE Louisiana @ UAB +20.0 140.3 86% 59–84 ✓
Texas State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi — — — 75–63 —
Air Force @ Cal State Northridge — — — 66–61 —
Northwestern State @ UT Arlington +0.8 142.1 72% 71–80 ✓
High Point @ Elon — — — 75–76 —
Mississippi Valley State @ Wyoming — — — 61–97 —
Idaho State @ UC Davis +1.8 138.2 61% 61–70 ✓
UTSA @ UT Rio Grande Valley — — — 64–81 —
Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville -8.3 144.6 28% 83–81 ✓
South Carolina @ Liberty — — — 62–78 —
Southeast Missouri State @ Kansas City — — — 71–66 —
Lipscomb @ Lamar — — — 76–73 —
Rhode Island @ South Florida — — — 84–68 —
Loyola Marymount @ Minnesota +18.4 152.4 89% 73–88 ✓
North Texas @ Arkansas +18.7 153.1 86% 54–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.