And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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6–4 on winners spread MAE 10.7 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Middle Tennessee @ Abilene Christian — — — 79–56 —
Vermont @ Merrimack — — — 51–65 —
Montana State @ Wichita State — — — 69–89 —
UNC Asheville @ Ohio — — — 76–82 —
Florida State @ Rice — — — 73–65 —
Baylor @ Arkansas — — — 72–67 —
Northwestern @ Dayton +6.4 138.8 70% 66–71 ✓
New Hampshire @ UConn +23.9 150.7 90% 53–92 ✓
Sam Houston @ Tarleton State — — — 91–62 —
Western Kentucky @ Grand Canyon — — — 72–74 —
Youngstown State @ Chicago State — — — 80–60 —
Liberty @ Seattle U — — — 66–64 —
Bethune-Cookman @ Nebraska — — — 58–63 —
Kennesaw State @ California Baptist — — — 84–88 —
Florida International @ Southern Utah — — — 75–80 —
New Mexico State @ Utah Tech — — — 75–63 —
Auburn @ Houston +0.9 138.4 42% 74–69 ✗
Pepperdine @ UC San Diego — — — 76–94 —
Washington @ Nevada — — — 53–63 —
Boise State @ San Francisco — — — 73–84 —
Eastern Illinois @ Indiana +20.4 145.3 89% 55–90 ✓
App State @ Wisconsin +29.4 139.5 91% 56–87 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Vanderbilt +27.1 148.9 90% 76–85 ✓
Niagara @ Detroit Mercy — — — 78–84 —
North Florida @ Georgia Tech +2.6 146.8 50% 105–93 ✗
Michigan @ Wake Forest -9.2 139.8 39% 70–72 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Drake — — — 51–66 —
Saint Francis @ Campbell — — — 65–64 —
Harvard @ American University +3.7 132.1 69% 55–67 ✓
Maine @ Brown — — — 69–67 —
Princeton @ Northeastern +13.7 144.3 84% 79–76 ✗
UC Irvine @ Northern Iowa — — — 80–60 —
Binghamton @ Miami — — — 64–88 —
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Oklahoma State — — — 71–80 —
SE Louisiana @ UAB — — — 72–82 —
Texas Southern @ Georgia — — — 64–92 —
Tennessee State @ Wyoming — — — 66–81 —
Arizona State @ Gonzaga — — — 80–88 —
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Creighton — — — 70–96 —
Alabama State @ LSU — — — 61–74 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.