Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
19–7 on winners spread MAE 7.3 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mercer @ The Citadel +1.6 155.0 56% 71–64 ✗
Belmont @ SIU Edwardsville -10.8 146.7 16% 80–64 ✓
Portland @ Loyola Marymount +7.1 141.4 74% 58–70 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Wagner +22.8 134.5 98% 64–95 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Sacred Heart +9.6 142.5 81% 66–74 ✓
Saint Francis @ Bryant +7.5 154.6 75% 52–82 ✓
Harvard @ Dartmouth +1.4 139.4 55% 60–59 ✗
Kennesaw State @ North Florida -5.8 143.4 30% 62–60 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +11.7 147.2 86% 86–78 ✗
Delaware @ Northeastern -1.5 137.4 45% 82–76 ✓
Towson @ William & Mary -16.0 136.3 7% 91–69 ✓
Lamar @ Stephen F. Austin +17.4 135.3 94% 78–86 ✓
Wyoming @ Nevada -7.1 148.0 26% 77–67 ✓
Idaho @ Northern Arizona +4.8 154.5 67% 72–74 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City +6.8 132.2 73% 63–55 ✗
Drake @ Southern Illinois -1.0 126.9 46% 60–59 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -0.6 133.3 48% 63–69 ✗
Florida A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -6.9 142.9 27% 78–70 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alcorn State +10.3 152.1 83% 74–73 ✗
UNLV @ San José State -3.5 136.1 38% 81–56 ✓
Portland State @ Southern Utah +12.6 134.2 87% 76–86 ✓
Weber State @ Idaho State -11.3 131.9 15% 78–61 ✓
Seattle U @ California Baptist +0.1 140.5 50% 92–85 ✗
Canisius @ Saint Peter's +8.3 132.5 77% 57–65 ✓
Baylor @ West Virginia -6.8 135.0 27% 77–68 ✓
Western Michigan @ Akron +15.8 134.3 92% 73–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.