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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
19–4 on winners
spread MAE 8.2
23 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Western Carolina
@
East Tennessee State
|
+8.9 | 150.8 | 80% | 69–87 | ✓ |
Bucknell
@
Loyola Maryland
|
+7.9 | 145.8 | 81% | 67–71 | ✓ |
Holy Cross
@
Lehigh
|
+3.2 | 135.2 | 61% | 69–77 | ✓ |
Boston University
@
American University
|
-8.5 | 132.6 | 20% | 79–53 | ✓ |
Navy
@
Lafayette
|
-11.1 | 132.9 | 18% | 69–55 | ✓ |
UIC
@
IU Indianapolis
|
-9.5 | 124.4 | 15% | 67–65 | ✓ |
Southern
@
Bethune-Cookman
|
-4.0 | 134.0 | 31% | 69–59 | ✓ |
Grambling
@
Florida A&M
|
+2.5 | 135.9 | 59% | 66–75 | ✓ |
Omaha
@
Kansas City
|
+10.3 | 136.6 | 85% | 61–64 | ✓ |
South Dakota
@
North Dakota
|
-5.6 | 141.6 | 28% | 75–68 | ✓ |
Jackson State
@
Alabama A&M
|
-1.6 | 125.8 | 44% | 58–60 | ✗ |
Mississippi Valley State
@
Texas Southern
|
+18.5 | 146.2 | 90% | 58–95 | ✓ |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
Prairie View A&M
|
+5.9 | 145.4 | 71% | 58–75 | ✓ |
Alcorn State
@
Alabama State
|
+0.6 | 139.0 | 48% | 70–60 | ✗ |
North Dakota State
@
Denver
|
-1.4 | 141.9 | 34% | 87–69 | ✓ |
Oregon
@
Oregon State
|
-2.5 | 140.6 | 27% | 78–76 | ✓ |
San Diego
@
Pepperdine
|
+1.7 | 139.0 | 62% | 72–62 | ✗ |
Quinnipiac
@
Canisius
|
+0.1 | 147.0 | 52% | 67–79 | ✓ |
Iona
@
Fairfield
|
-4.9 | 139.2 | 29% | 80–76 | ✓ |
USC
@
Stanford
|
-4.1 | 139.4 | 35% | 69–75 | ✗ |
Hofstra
@
Towson
|
+3.8 | 141.4 | 68% | 66–78 | ✓ |
South Carolina
@
Tennessee
|
+15.0 | 144.5 | 88% | 46–66 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Penn State
|
+4.9 | 133.1 | 67% | 49–66 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.