I want the bomb, I want the P-Funk, I want my funk uncut. "P-Funk (Wants to Get Funked Up)" - Parliament
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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17–4 on winners spread MAE 9.4 21 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ Texas -4.3 148.4 31% 83–69 ✓
Michigan State @ Iowa +14.2 157.1 87% 78–84 ✓
Tennessee @ Ole Miss -4.4 123.2 29% 50–52 ✗
West Virginia @ Iowa State -11.9 145.9 14% 76–72 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville State -0.1 154.4 49% 86–82 ✓
South Carolina State @ North Carolina Central +17.5 151.9 90% 63–64 ✓
North Carolina @ Clemson +0.6 132.0 54% 50–63 ✓
Georgia @ Auburn +8.4 157.2 79% 91–86 ✗
Akron @ Toledo +6.2 148.4 74% 76–91 ✓
Kansas State @ Kansas +15.6 137.3 89% 51–74 ✓
Morgan State @ Coppin State -2.6 158.7 38% 95–82 ✓
Penn State @ Wisconsin +5.4 143.1 71% 56–72 ✓
Illinois @ Indiana -3.0 146.7 41% 75–71 ✓
USC @ Stanford -0.2 143.4 48% 72–66 ✓
UNLV @ Nevada +5.2 144.4 74% 62–72 ✓
Dayton @ Duquesne +0.4 130.3 54% 64–69 ✓
Mississippi State @ Arkansas +9.0 146.6 81% 45–61 ✓
Elon @ James Madison +9.9 140.4 86% 57–78 ✓
Houston @ East Carolina -12.0 130.5 14% 73–82 ✗
Fordham @ Massachusetts +14.5 139.4 89% 54–60 ✓
South Carolina @ Florida +11.8 155.0 88% 72–66 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.