Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–12 on winners spread MAE 11.7 22 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Utah @ UCLA +5.4 141.3 73% 70–72 ✓
Michigan @ Maryland +3.1 143.2 63% 84–73 ✗
Arizona @ Washington -9.0 140.6 21% 80–53 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho +4.8 136.9 71% 78–65 ✗
Boise State @ San José State -14.5 143.4 16% 106–54 ✓
Nevada @ New Mexico +2.9 141.9 67% 68–54 ✗
California @ Oregon +14.9 135.8 88% 69–82 ✓
Colorado @ USC +3.2 145.2 68% 72–62 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Canisius -6.5 137.6 28% 58–70 ✗
Niagara @ Marist +2.0 125.2 62% 61–63 ✓
Liberty @ Lipscomb -11.9 139.9 17% 70–77 ✗
UTSA @ Rice +11.0 147.5 84% 86–95 ✓
Green Bay @ Youngstown State +7.7 145.2 77% 77–84 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Charlotte +1.5 136.9 53% 67–63 ✗
Rider @ Fairfield +1.2 136.3 53% 70–62 ✗
UT Arlington @ Little Rock +5.8 146.7 73% 93–102 ✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris -0.8 147.0 44% 64–67 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Kentucky +8.3 147.7 81% 68–75 ✓
Jacksonville @ Kennesaw State +2.4 132.5 60% 62–57 ✗
Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina +0.5 162.3 49% 69–81 ✓
South Alabama @ Georgia Southern +3.5 156.2 64% 88–59 ✗
Troy @ App State +6.3 125.9 73% 69–56 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.