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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–11 on winners spread MAE 12.9 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
West Virginia @ Gonzaga +0.4 155.2 53% 82–87 ✓
Ball State @ Michigan +4.9 148.9 63% 65–84 ✓
Hartford @ Fairfield +2.5 140.3 56% 66–61 ✗
South Dakota State @ Iowa State +5.7 142.5 68% 71–68 ✗
Presbyterian @ Jacksonville — — — 65–78 —
Oral Roberts @ Wichita State — — — 80–85 —
Tarleton State @ Texas A&M — — — 66–73 —
SIU Edwardsville @ Northern Illinois +4.6 141.1 65% 73–53 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Xavier +16.4 143.5 88% 48–79 ✓
Providence @ Alabama -1.5 141.0 42% 71–88 ✗
Seton Hall @ Rhode Island +3.1 148.2 60% 63–76 ✓
Murray State @ Middle Tennessee — — — 61–78 —
Southern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State — — — 87–79 —
Drexel @ Quinnipiac +6.1 144.3 72% 66–48 ✗
Kennesaw State @ UAB — — — 48–73 —
North Florida @ Florida State — — — 58–86 —
Evansville @ UT Martin — — — 87–93 —
Houston Christian @ SMU +17.9 148.5 89% 75–102 ✓
Old Dominion @ Norfolk State +11.6 145.7 85% 80–66 ✗
Arkansas State @ Memphis +9.4 136.7 80% 54–83 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UT Rio Grande Valley +12.8 142.1 87% 59–62 ✓
Louisiana @ LSU New Orleans +3.7 152.8 64% 66–63 ✗
Missouri @ Oregon — — — 83–75 —
North Dakota @ Utah Tech — — — 73–74 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Northwestern — — — 49–92 —
San Francisco @ Nevada +12.7 133.0 86% 85–60 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Wyoming +12.5 137.7 83% 83–94 ✓
UT Arlington @ Arkansas +22.2 149.1 91% 60–72 ✓
Davidson @ UNLV -11.4 145.4 16% 77–73 ✓
Illinois @ Baylor -4.4 161.7 36% 69–82 ✗
SE Louisiana @ California Baptist +12.9 148.0 86% 81–80 ✗
Oregon State @ Washington State +4.1 132.7 70% 55–59 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Santa Clara — — — 47–53 —
Quinnipiac @ Drexel -4.3 140.4 34% 58–70 ✗
Chicago State @ Eastern Illinois +16.0 131.4 90% 56–78 ✓
Winthrop @ Little Rock -1.6 140.0 38% 80–75 ✓
UMass Lowell @ NC State +7.0 146.7 73% 59–90 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Northern Kentucky +8.6 140.6 78% 65–74 ✓
Washington @ Utah — — — 62–76 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.