If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–9 on winners spread MAE 10.5 24 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
NC State @ Louisville +5.6 159.1 76% 77–118 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Indiana State -1.1 142.1 46% 80–65 ✓
Texas Southern @ Bethune-Cookman +7.9 148.7 82% 69–79 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Florida A&M +1.9 141.4 58% 96–100 ✓
Yale @ Howard -6.5 145.9 24% 87–81 ✓
Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana +0.6 133.4 52% 62–74 ✓
Northwestern State @ Lamar +8.0 136.5 81% 70–68 ✗
Central Arkansas @ North Alabama -9.2 146.0 16% 72–65 ✓
Valparaiso @ Drake +1.9 142.8 59% 81–76 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +4.5 132.0 69% 66–58 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Nicholls -3.1 142.4 35% 92–72 ✓
Houston Christian @ McNeese +17.0 135.5 89% 69–73 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Stephen F. Austin +17.0 140.9 89% 70–74 ✓
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +5.6 133.0 77% 63–72 ✓
Illinois State @ Evansville -12.6 133.2 15% 80–88 ✗
Belmont @ Bradley -2.5 150.6 40% 84–95 ✗
Alcorn State @ Mississippi Valley State -6.8 138.3 24% 74–66 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +1.4 143.9 56% 76–64 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ New Orleans +0.3 143.7 50% 78–84 ✓
Oregon @ Indiana +11.2 141.6 87% 74–92 ✓
Arizona @ Kansas -1.2 143.3 43% 78–82 ✗
Alabama State @ Southern +4.7 152.2 72% 68–69 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Murray State +4.8 137.5 60% 89–60 ✗
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis +0.0 158.2 50% 92–88 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.