And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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17–8 on winners spread MAE 8.4 25 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ NC State -4.7 149.1 30% 79–64 ✓
Jacksonville @ Kennesaw State +4.3 149.8 64% 92–86 ✗
Queens University @ Florida Gulf Coast +4.4 149.2 70% 69–63 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Morgan State -5.9 148.4 32% 79–88 ✗
Delaware State @ Howard +3.7 148.0 73% 66–85 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +10.5 136.2 86% 50–69 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word -2.3 145.1 39% 73–56 ✓
Nicholls @ Northwestern State -1.6 146.0 45% 68–62 ✓
South Carolina State @ Coppin State -5.6 128.8 21% 61–58 ✓
Lamar @ East Texas A&M -3.9 149.3 34% 70–53 ✓
New Orleans @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +14.0 149.0 89% 60–73 ✓
Houston Christian @ McNeese +28.4 150.4 91% 69–87 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona -3.0 157.4 40% 82–74 ✓
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern +4.1 138.1 63% 82–79 ✗
Jackson State @ Prairie View A&M -0.6 141.5 46% 79–74 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling +3.0 133.9 65% 60–69 ✓
Texas @ Baylor +6.4 150.9 81% 85–93 ✓
Florida A&M @ Southern +9.1 137.0 83% 44–58 ✓
Weber State @ Montana State -2.3 146.2 44% 64–76 ✗
Idaho State @ Montana +8.9 146.3 83% 65–79 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Sacramento State -6.6 143.2 22% 91–88 ✓
Idaho @ Portland State +5.4 137.9 74% 57–72 ✓
Holy Cross @ Army +3.4 131.0 60% 84–68 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ UL Monroe +1.8 141.1 55% 75–71 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Maine -1.7 138.6 45% 65–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.