Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–9 on winners spread MAE 10.6 23 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Miami @ North Carolina +3.3 157.1 70% 80–72 ✗
American University @ Bucknell +0.0 136.4 53% 51–73 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Monmouth -1.8 139.8 43% 71–85 ✗
Towson @ William & Mary -6.4 140.8 27% 66–68 ✗
Drexel @ Hofstra +8.9 137.5 82% 52–66 ✓
Stony Brook @ Delaware +8.3 131.8 78% 60–71 ✓
Northeastern @ Charleston +18.0 147.5 89% 63–99 ✓
Morgan State @ South Carolina State -2.3 155.2 44% 62–74 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Howard +2.3 145.3 64% 69–78 ✓
Delaware State @ Norfolk State +11.7 143.8 86% 58–97 ✓
Jackson State @ Bethune-Cookman +0.4 145.4 54% 91–64 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Grambling +5.3 131.4 75% 64–68 ✓
Alcorn State @ Florida A&M -5.1 134.8 29% 67–64 ✓
Coppin State @ North Carolina Central +11.9 153.7 87% 52–85 ✓
Hartford @ South Alabama +21.5 134.6 91% 53–77 ✓
Alabama State @ Mississippi Valley State -0.3 136.7 43% 70–76 ✗
Texas @ Texas Tech -3.3 146.6 41% 67–74 ✗
West Virginia @ Baylor +7.1 152.3 79% 67–79 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +2.4 143.5 58% 75–72 ✗
Texas Southern @ Southern +7.2 143.6 78% 79–68 ✗
Hampton @ Elon +5.2 140.3 72% 68–70 ✓
Georgetown @ Seton Hall +12.1 136.7 88% 68–76 ✓
Vanderbilt @ South Carolina -5.8 140.8 31% 75–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.