Betting Lines
| Spread | UAPB -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UAPB -125 AAMU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | UAPB -4.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAPB -2.3 (-5.3) | 142.9 (+4.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAPB -2.9 (-5.9) | 143.0 (+4.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAPB -2.3 (-5.3) | 142.6 (+4.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAPB -2.4 (-5.4) | 143.5 (+3.5) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | AAMU 82 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UAPB 95 – 83 AAMU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AAMU 75 – 61 UAPB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AAMU 89 – 79 UAPB |
| Feb 20, 2024 | AAMU 75 – 67 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-8 |
| Away | 2-16 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#320) | -9.8 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#317) | -1.89 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#321) | -2.42 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#320) | 0.396 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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