Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | NORF -1200 DSU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +39 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -15.0 (+24.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -11.8 (+27.2) | 141.7 (+13.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -12.7 (+26.3) | 140.7 (+14.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -11.6 (+27.4) | 143.3 (+11.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -11.7 (+27.3) | 143.8 (+11.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NORF 75 – 58 DSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NORF 66 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NORF 96 – 84 DSU |
| Jan 6, 2025 | NORF 73 – 64 DSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DSU 85 – 71 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-8 |
| Away | 6-8 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#198) | -12.6 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#115) | -1.90 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#126) | -2.54 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#113) | 0.407 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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