Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | SCST -115 MORG -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -2.4 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -1.5 (+13.5) | 155.6 (-19.6) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -0.8 (+12.8) | 152.2 (-16.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -2.2 (+14.2) | 154.9 (-18.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -2.3 (+14.3) | 155.2 (-19.2) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MORG 90 – 83 SCST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORG 72 – 67 SCST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SCST 90 – 62 MORG |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SCST 86 – 72 MORG |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SCST 72 – 61 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 7-7 |
| Home | 4-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 1-19 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.7 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#351) | -7.0 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#342) | -0.70 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#349) | -1.17 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#336) | 0.487 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.7% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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