Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU +320 ALCN -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +3 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | ALCN -5.6 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -5.6 (+2.6) | 134.4 (-3.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -6.9 (+3.9) | 133.1 (-2.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -6.1 (+3.1) | 132.6 (-1.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -5.1 (+2.1) | 134.8 (-3.8) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | FAMU 86 – 78 ALCN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 58 ALCN |
| Feb 18, 2025 | FAMU 85 – 76 ALCN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FAMU 65 – 64 ALCN |
| Feb 20, 2024 | ALCN 79 – 68 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 4-7 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-15 | 10-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.2 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -15.4 (#358) | -6.2 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#357) | -0.02 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.61 (#359) | -0.12 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#359) | 0.500 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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