Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -115 JKST -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +27 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -0.2 (-26.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -0.2 (-27.2) | 146.2 (+8.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -0.5 (-26.5) | 142.1 (+12.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -0.4 (-27.4) | 144.7 (+10.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -0.4 (-27.4) | 145.4 (+9.6) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | JKST 91 – 86 BCU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BCU 85 – 48 JKST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | JKST 71 – 50 BCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | JKST 84 – 71 BCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | JKST 86 – 81 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#352) | -9.3 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#330) | -1.58 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#335) | -2.35 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#354) | 0.427 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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