Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU -1000 COPP +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +33 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -14.3 (+18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -12.6 (+20.4) | 152.6 (-15.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -11.5 (+21.5) | 151.2 (-14.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -12.3 (+20.7) | 153.1 (-16.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -11.9 (+21.1) | 153.7 (-16.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COPP 58 – 56 NCCU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NCCU 88 – 77 COPP |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NCCU 71 – 59 COPP |
| Jan 4, 2025 | COPP 63 – 61 NCCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | NCCU 83 – 58 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 4-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#194) | -11.7 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#237) | -1.55 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#217) | -2.02 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#229) | 0.427 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 18.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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