Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -225 PV +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -7.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -5.8 (-1.8) | 132.6 (-0.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -5.0 (-1.0) | 129.7 (+2.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -6.0 (-2.0) | 130.9 (+1.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -5.3 (-1.3) | 131.4 (+0.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | PV 68 – 63 GRAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GRAM 76 – 72 PV |
| Feb 18, 2025 | GRAM 70 – 48 PV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | PV 73 – 55 GRAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | GRAM 83 – 74 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 9-6 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#208) | -5.7 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#173) | -1.61 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#162) | -1.79 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#189) | 0.412 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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