Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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18–5 on winners spread MAE 8.6 23 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State +7.0 151.2 79% 69–87 ✓
Bucknell @ Loyola Maryland +7.4 146.2 76% 67–71 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lehigh +4.5 136.8 65% 69–77 ✓
Boston University @ American University -6.5 137.4 26% 79–53 ✓
Navy @ Lafayette -10.2 136.5 19% 69–55 ✓
UIC @ IU Indianapolis -10.0 123.8 17% 67–65 ✓
Southern @ Bethune-Cookman -4.5 134.7 28% 69–59 ✓
Grambling @ Florida A&M +1.3 133.6 51% 66–75 ✓
Omaha @ Kansas City +10.4 137.6 85% 61–64 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota -4.4 148.5 34% 75–68 ✓
Jackson State @ Alabama A&M -1.7 124.7 52% 58–60 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Texas Southern +20.8 144.3 91% 58–95 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Prairie View A&M +2.8 151.1 69% 58–75 ✓
Alcorn State @ Alabama State +0.4 141.6 53% 70–60 ✗
North Dakota State @ Denver -0.6 143.3 44% 87–69 ✓
Oregon @ Oregon State -3.7 147.3 33% 78–76 ✓
San Diego @ Pepperdine +0.7 140.9 56% 72–62 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Canisius -2.0 148.5 42% 67–79 ✗
Iona @ Fairfield -4.7 142.0 29% 80–76 ✓
USC @ Stanford -5.2 139.6 31% 69–75 ✗
Hofstra @ Towson +5.9 147.1 70% 66–78 ✓
South Carolina @ Tennessee +13.4 143.3 87% 46–66 ✓
Rutgers @ Penn State +5.0 134.8 63% 49–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.