I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
22–3 on winners spread MAE 8.5 25 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alcorn State @ Baylor +30.0 140.4 91% 57–94 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Purdue +32.3 150.7 91% 59–79 ✓
Delaware State @ Wagner +32.6 136.3 91% 51–93 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Charlotte +3.6 144.9 69% 54–70 ✓
Western Carolina @ Georgia +5.5 148.3 72% 79–85 ✓
Stetson @ Miami +11.8 138.3 86% 72–82 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Valparaiso +3.3 145.7 67% 55–67 ✓
Manhattan @ Charleston Southern -6.7 148.6 26% 99–75 ✓
UL Monroe @ Lamar -3.3 145.6 28% 80–77 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota State +8.9 149.7 78% 57–89 ✓
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota +1.3 147.0 53% 82–73 ✗
St. Thomas @ Omaha -8.0 152.9 24% 80–73 ✓
Western Michigan @ Notre Dame +14.9 144.2 87% 52–85 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Gonzaga +28.5 149.6 91% 49–95 ✓
Western Illinois @ Denver -5.2 145.8 31% 84–80 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Ohio +17.1 137.6 89% 70–85 ✓
Southern Miss @ East Carolina +11.8 138.9 87% 67–68 ✓
Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh -0.2 122.9 49% 55–64 ✗
UTSA @ Illinois State +11.3 153.0 86% 64–81 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Little Rock -6.9 141.5 27% 87–67 ✓
Samford @ Ole Miss +8.6 138.5 77% 75–73 ✗
Dartmouth @ Cal State Bakersfield +2.9 128.5 56% 57–61 ✓
South Carolina State @ Charleston Southern -3.9 150.2 36% 75–65 ✓
Merrimack @ Maine -7.8 118.4 14% 49–47 ✓
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M +25.7 144.9 91% 61–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.