Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–11 on winners spread MAE 7.9 24 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Missouri @ Georgia -2.0 156.6 44% 70–80 ✗
Florida @ Arkansas +5.7 151.5 76% 64–75 ✓
Wagner @ Mount St. Mary's +4.1 130.3 49% 61–39 ✗
Nebraska @ Maryland +10.0 135.9 84% 50–64 ✓
Austin Peay @ Southeast Missouri State -4.0 143.3 32% 81–86 ✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Fairleigh Dickinson +4.7 160.9 64% 83–75 ✗
Temple @ Tulsa +4.5 130.7 65% 66–72 ✓
Michigan State @ Purdue +9.5 136.5 82% 65–75 ✓
Dayton @ Rhode Island +3.8 134.8 64% 89–91 ✓
Bowling Green @ Ball State +0.4 149.0 50% 75–62 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Toledo +12.2 152.2 87% 75–87 ✓
Kent State @ Western Michigan -10.7 139.9 17% 76–69 ✓
Xavier @ St. John's +1.8 152.9 62% 84–93 ✓
Northwestern @ Illinois +12.6 146.6 85% 66–73 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara -0.6 134.4 43% 76–73 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Louis +14.5 143.1 88% 57–78 ✓
Wagner @ Mount St. Mary's +3.4 130.7 55% 57–55 ✗
Iona @ Quinnipiac -2.3 143.7 41% 70–74 ✗
NC State @ Pittsburgh +4.1 141.8 69% 74–73 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Central Connecticut -0.1 140.9 46% 82–70 ✓
Boston University @ Holy Cross +2.3 144.1 60% 78–69 ✗
Evansville @ Indiana State +8.5 131.1 82% 73–87 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Radford +3.8 135.7 66% 69–57 ✗
Marquette @ Butler +0.3 133.0 46% 73–57 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.