← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →

13–10 on winners spread MAE 10.8 23 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Miami @ North Carolina	+4.3	159.6	65%	80–72	✗
American University @ Bucknell	-0.1	132.0	50%	51–73	✗
North Carolina A&T @ Monmouth	-3.4	140.4	38%	71–85	✗
Towson @ William & Mary	-6.3	134.9	28%	66–68	✗
Drexel @ Hofstra	+9.1	133.5	80%	52–66	✓
Stony Brook @ Delaware	+10.2	130.3	82%	60–71	✓
Northeastern @ Charleston	+19.2	146.2	96%	63–99	✓
Morgan State @ South Carolina State	-1.7	158.0	44%	62–74	✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Howard	+3.7	139.7	63%	69–78	✓
Delaware State @ Norfolk State	+14.4	140.7	90%	58–97	✓
Jackson State @ Bethune-Cookman	+0.0	146.5	50%	91–64	✗
Prairie View A&M @ Grambling	+7.4	126.3	75%	64–68	✓
Alcorn State @ Florida A&M	-5.8	130.9	30%	67–64	✓
Coppin State @ North Carolina Central	+14.9	158.6	91%	52–85	✓
Hartford @ South Alabama	+24.7	131.7	99%	53–77	✓
Alabama State @ Mississippi Valley State	-0.6	132.4	48%	70–76	✗
Texas @ Texas Tech	-4.8	145.6	33%	67–74	✗
West Virginia @ Baylor	+5.9	153.3	71%	67–79	✓
Alabama A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff	+4.4	141.5	65%	75–72	✗
Texas Southern @ Southern	+10.6	146.1	83%	79–68	✗
Hampton @ Elon	+7.0	142.4	74%	68–70	✓
Georgetown @ Seton Hall	+14.6	136.6	91%	68–76	✓
Vanderbilt @ South Carolina	-6.1	138.3	29%	75–64	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.