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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
17–6 on winners
spread MAE 8.2
23 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+6.6 | 132.2 | 75% | 76–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.9 | 136.2 | 86% | 62–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.3 | 142.2 | 67% | 67–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.6 | 134.8 | 87% | 52–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.5 | 145.6 | 89% | 59–88 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.8 | 143.2 | 25% | 77–57 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.2 | 135.6 | 87% | 51–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.9 | 148.0 | 63% | 66–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.4 | 140.7 | 75% | 68–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.2 | 128.7 | 62% | 65–62 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.2 | 165.0 | 80% | 91–98 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.1 | 149.6 | 53% | 82–79 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.4 | 138.8 | 48% | 83–52 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.1 | 137.0 | 47% | 75–72 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.4 | 144.9 | 41% | 62–53 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.9 | 137.3 | 88% | 56–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.9 | 144.8 | 88% | 65–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-8.2 | 144.0 | 21% | 79–61 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.7 | 132.8 | 47% | 53–42 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.4 | 131.5 | 69% | 65–45 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.9 | 146.2 | 78% | 69–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.2 | 154.4 | 87% | 64–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.2 | 139.2 | 83% | 68–69 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.