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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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6–1 on winners spread MAE 19.1 30 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
North Carolina @ UNLV	—	—	—	78–51	—
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Hofstra	—	—	—	58–73	—
Auburn @ UCF	—	—	—	55–63	—
Georgia State @ Mercer	—	—	—	69–86	—
Eastern Kentucky @ Xavier	+6.5	141.4	82%	96–99	✓
Chattanooga @ Tennessee Tech	—	—	—	62–54	—
Nicholls @ California	—	—	—	49–60	—
Loyola Marymount @ Minnesota	+10.3	147.0	87%	64–67	✓
SE Louisiana @ LSU	+9.8	143.3	81%	43–96	✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ SMU	—	—	—	54–91	—
Texas State @ Mississippi State	—	—	—	51–68	—
Kansas City @ Kansas State	—	—	—	58–62	—
Iona @ Seton Hall	—	—	—	64–86	—
Texas Southern @ Wyoming	—	—	—	76–74	—
Pacific @ Nevada	—	—	—	58–70	—
Stanford @ Alabama	—	—	—	82–64	—
Texas @ Indiana	+0.5	137.2	49%	66–44	✗
USC @ BYU	—	—	—	79–53	—
Oakland @ Purdue	+15.3	145.9	87%	50–93	✓
North Carolina @ Stanford	—	—	—	67–63	—
Saint Francis @ Virginia	+9.9	131.2	85%	51–76	✓
UC Riverside @ Washington	—	—	—	57–42	—
Bryant @ New Hampshire	—	—	—	93–85	—
Green Bay @ Wisconsin	—	—	—	42–82	—
Omaha @ Creighton	—	—	—	67–94	—
Villanova @ Hartford	—	—	—	87–53	—
Longwood @ VMI	—	—	—	71–84	—
Stony Brook @ Saint Peter's	—	—	—	68–82	—
Navy @ Georgetown	—	—	—	78–71	—
Western Kentucky @ Louisville	+6.6	140.9	71%	54–75	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.