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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
17–7 on winners
spread MAE 9.3
24 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Incarnate Word
@
Duke
|
+27.3 | 139.1 | 91% | 46–72 | ✓ |
Coppin State
@
NC State
|
+25.7 | 134.0 | 91% | 56–66 | ✓ |
Jacksonville
@
Florida Atlantic
|
+11.8 | 152.7 | 83% | 63–85 | ✓ |
Charlotte
@
Davidson
|
+8.1 | 143.5 | 79% | 71–75 | ✓ |
Monmouth
@
Princeton
|
+12.8 | 146.8 | 87% | 67–71 | ✓ |
Penn State
@
Rutgers
|
-5.9 | 158.9 | 38% | 76–80 | ✗ |
Rhode Island
@
Brown
|
+0.1 | 146.1 | 52% | 80–84 | ✓ |
Morgan State
@
Xavier
|
+21.3 | 150.4 | 90% | 58–119 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
West Virginia
|
+17.7 | 147.3 | 90% | 45–79 | ✓ |
UAlbany
@
Syracuse
|
+10.2 | 150.9 | 78% | 85–102 | ✓ |
Charleston
@
Saint Joseph's
|
+6.4 | 149.7 | 72% | 78–75 | ✗ |
Troy
@
Houston
|
+19.3 | 130.1 | 90% | 42–62 | ✓ |
Tennessee State
@
Western Kentucky
|
+14.8 | 156.4 | 87% | 60–84 | ✓ |
Wyoming
@
South Dakota
|
+1.4 | 152.2 | 57% | 81–82 | ✓ |
Southern Miss
@
Tulane
|
+5.5 | 147.1 | 75% | 58–86 | ✓ |
Providence
@
DePaul
|
+2.8 | 140.7 | 57% | 70–63 | ✗ |
Michigan
@
Arkansas
|
-1.1 | 145.3 | 58% | 87–89 | ✗ |
Wisconsin
@
Illinois
|
+9.8 | 155.9 | 78% | 80–86 | ✓ |
Kansas City
@
Portland
|
+1.2 | 141.5 | 43% | 69–64 | ✗ |
Cornell
@
California
|
+5.2 | 161.7 | 71% | 88–80 | ✗ |
Long Beach State
@
San Diego
|
+2.1 | 133.6 | 50% | 76–70 | ✗ |
Eastern Washington
@
Washington
|
+8.0 | 142.1 | 80% | 69–87 | ✓ |
Norfolk State
@
Baylor
|
+20.4 | 147.6 | 89% | 69–94 | ✓ |
Long Island University
@
UMass Lowell
|
+12.3 | 149.0 | 86% | 62–69 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.