Betting Lines
| Spread | XAV -28.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | XAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | XAV +61 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | XAV -22.2 (+38.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | XAV -19.9 (+41.1) | 149.7 (+27.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | XAV -18.9 (+42.1) | 149.3 (+27.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | XAV -15.8 (+45.2) | 150.8 (+26.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | XAV -21.3 (+39.7) | 150.4 (+26.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | XAV 96 – 73 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | XAV | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 82.8 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#99) | -13.3 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#59) | -3.33 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#66) | -4.29 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#101) | 0.285 (#364) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | XAV | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.