Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | USD -185 LBSU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | USD -4.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -2.1 (-8.1) | 133.6 (+12.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -2.4 (-8.4) | 132.5 (+13.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USD -2.9 (-8.9) | 132.8 (+13.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -2.9 (-8.9) | 133.3 (+12.7) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | LBSU 76 – 72 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-27 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 3-17 |
| Home | 5-13 | 3-11 |
| Away | 0-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#314) | -8.9 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#331) | -1.94 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#292) | -2.16 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#331) | 0.405 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 24.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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