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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–3 on winners spread MAE 9.1 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UT Martin @ Alabama State +4.9 140.7 72% 93–103 ✓
Marshall @ Wright State +7.3 144.3 76% 79–88 ✓
NJIT @ Delaware State +5.9 137.0 71% 59–71 ✓
Maine @ Duquesne +3.4 132.7 65% 61–56 ✗
Dartmouth @ Notre Dame +16.0 144.1 88% 65–77 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Villanova +26.0 151.3 91% 72–86 ✓
Bryant @ St. John's +16.3 160.4 88% 77–99 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Purdue Fort Wayne +13.7 149.1 88% 76–78 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay -3.5 148.2 32% 88–67 ✓
North Alabama @ East Carolina +4.7 137.9 71% 74–67 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Pittsburgh +20.2 149.1 89% 56–96 ✓
UTEP @ Louisville +10.3 142.3 84% 74–77 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ UL Monroe +9.3 150.6 86% 73–89 ✓
Colgate @ Kentucky +22.1 153.5 90% 67–78 ✓
North Dakota @ Utah Valley +7.9 143.3 79% 57–80 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Louisiana -2.6 137.3 46% 61–68 ✗
Fresno State @ BYU +22.5 154.4 90% 67–95 ✓
California Baptist @ San Diego State +16.7 143.3 87% 75–81 ✓
South Dakota State @ Nevada +10.0 136.9 82% 63–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.