Betting Lines
| Spread | DSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | DSU -210 NJIT +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | DSU -6.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -6.0 (+6.0) | 137.1 (-7.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -5.7 (+6.3) | 139.5 (-9.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DSU -4.9 (+7.1) | 138.8 (-8.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DSU -5.9 (+6.1) | 137.0 (-7.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2023 | NJIT 81 – 72 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 3-13 |
| Home | 11-2 | 4-9 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#341) | -13.5 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#295) | -2.83 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#298) | -3.48 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#278) | 0.328 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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