Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -195 ME +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +5 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -0.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -1.9 (-6.9) | 132.7 (-15.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -1.4 (-6.4) | 133.0 (-16.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -1.5 (-6.5) | 132.7 (-15.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -3.4 (-8.4) | 132.7 (-15.7) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#271) | -1.6 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#330) | -0.25 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#289) | -0.63 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#326) | 0.490 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.