Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -10000 FRES +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +28 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -20.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -22.0 (+6.0) | 154.5 (+7.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -19.2 (+8.8) | 152.7 (+9.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -18.7 (+9.3) | 151.3 (+10.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -22.5 (+5.5) | 154.4 (+7.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | BYU 85 – 56 FRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 15-2 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 80.7 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#51) | -5.4 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#74) | -1.04 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#80) | -1.36 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#108) | 0.415 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 42.4 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 81.4% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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