Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -550 UND +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +23 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -10.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -8.2 (+14.8) | 143.7 (-6.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -8.0 (+15.0) | 145.9 (-8.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -8.0 (+15.0) | 146.1 (-9.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -7.9 (+15.1) | 143.3 (-6.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | UND 77 – 71 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 5-11 |
| Home | 12-0 | 9-6 |
| Away | 10-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#170) | -7.0 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#174) | -0.79 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#196) | -1.38 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#146) | 0.408 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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