Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SDSU -900 CBU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +6 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -18.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -16.4 (-10.4) | 143.9 (+12.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -16.9 (-10.9) | 142.9 (+13.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -16.7 (-10.7) | 142.1 (+13.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -16.7 (-10.7) | 143.3 (+12.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-7 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#39) | -2.0 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#44) | -0.05 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#41) | -0.02 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#22) | 0.478 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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