Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | UK -34.9 (-23.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -31.4 (-20.4) | 152.3 (-7.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -31.8 (-20.8) | 152.4 (-7.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -24.6 (-13.6) | 152.3 (-7.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -22.1 (-11.1) | 153.5 (-8.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 23.2 (#5) | -7.2 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.64 (#7) | -1.54 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.94 (#11) | -1.77 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.669 (#11) | 0.432 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 44.7 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.96 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 11.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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