Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -50000 NCCU +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +34 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -22.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -21.6 (+12.4) | 146.6 (-22.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -21.6 (+12.4) | 147.5 (-23.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -19.2 (+14.8) | 145.2 (-21.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -17.7 (+16.3) | 147.3 (-23.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#36) | -5.5 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#42) | -1.06 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#36) | -2.07 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#26) | 0.446 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 27.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 57.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 36.8% |
Game Analysis
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