And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–8 on winners spread MAE 7.4 22 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Samford @ South Carolina State -2.9 153.0 32% 88–81 ✓
Radford @ North Carolina Central -2.6 142.7 39% 70–67 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Longwood +17.5 141.4 91% 76–80 ✓
Wright State @ Oakland +0.6 133.3 61% 64–66 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Rio Grande Valley +9.6 141.5 82% 65–68 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Nicholls -0.9 135.7 52% 64–67 ✗
Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word +2.1 142.6 59% 72–70 ✗
Drake @ Valparaiso -6.9 136.1 24% 66–60 ✓
Jackson State @ Arkansas State +16.4 143.8 89% 64–66 ✓
Lamar @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +12.0 153.7 81% 65–61 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Houston Christian +0.7 132.5 58% 79–83 ✓
Cleveland State @ Milwaukee +8.0 133.9 80% 67–79 ✓
Xavier @ TCU +4.1 137.3 67% 72–76 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Davis -2.2 151.0 45% 66–77 ✗
Saint Louis @ San Francisco +19.2 145.7 89% 61–78 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Northridge +11.6 149.9 84% 68–64 ✗
UC San Diego @ UC Santa Barbara +3.1 137.0 60% 84–76 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +13.5 136.2 83% 66–82 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton +9.0 128.0 65% 73–56 ✗
Delaware @ Duquesne +1.3 143.9 56% 66–80 ✓
Brown @ Bryant +5.4 148.5 65% 76–75 ✗
Siena @ Niagara +0.4 131.8 57% 68–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.