We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–5 on winners spread MAE 12.2 24 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Texas @ McNeese +1.1 132.1 59% 61–68 ✓
Howard @ Florida International +5.2 144.8 73% 75–70 ✗
Colgate @ NC State +17.2 140.7 87% 49–72 ✓
American University @ High Point +16.6 135.0 87% 73–80 ✓
NJIT @ George Washington +28.3 137.5 91% 64–84 ✓
VMI @ Pittsburgh +22.0 144.3 90% 48–93 ✓
UNC Asheville @ North Florida +26.0 155.3 90% 89–75 ✗
Monmouth @ Wichita State +21.2 157.7 90% 66–70 ✓
SE Louisiana @ UL Monroe +0.9 140.8 44% 70–67 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Iowa State +20.3 145.7 87% 52–87 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Wisconsin +14.2 156.8 86% 84–87 ✓
Pacific @ Arkansas +14.6 129.9 84% 72–91 ✓
North Dakota State @ Southern Illinois +3.4 152.4 70% 44–69 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Tech +37.2 154.4 91% 64–98 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ SMU +17.3 154.4 88% 69–110 ✓
North Alabama @ Auburn +19.9 151.8 88% 69–102 ✓
Montana @ Utah State +30.2 147.3 91% 83–95 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Washington State +7.0 154.4 75% 69–83 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Diego State -13.2 138.9 17% 80–67 ✓
Idaho State @ Cal State Fullerton -4.7 131.9 25% 61–62 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Navy +2.2 147.3 60% 74–63 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Boston College +4.4 137.1 69% 61–82 ✓
Longwood @ Binghamton -0.8 139.3 34% 66–60 ✓
Queens University @ App State +1.7 138.3 45% 53–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.